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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to be the 7th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.1% run rate.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (139 per game) versus the Colts defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Tyjae Spears's 3.4 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a meaningful decline in his rushing prowess over last season's 4.2 rate.

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