Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyjae Spears's rushing effectiveness (5.10 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (89th percentile when it comes to running backs).

Favors Under

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 95.0 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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