Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to run on 48.2% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Tyjae Spears's rushing efficiency (4.55 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (80th percentile when it comes to RBs).
The Houston defensive tackles grade out as the worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Titans to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game.
The Houston Texans defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 3.61 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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