Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
With a fantastic rate of 4.86 adjusted yards per carry (86th percentile), Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the leading pure runners in the league this year.
Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the leading running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 3.95 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The projections expect the Titans to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Titans have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.
This year, the formidable Jaguars run defense has given up a puny 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-fewest in football.

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