Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Titans as the 3rd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyjae Spears's ground efficiency (5.09 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (90th percentile when it comes to running backs).
With an exceptional record of 4.08 yards after contact (97th percentile), Tyjae Spears places as one of the most formidable RBs in the league this year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's DE corps has been very bad this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
Opposing squads have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 98.0 per game) against the Buccaneers defense this year.

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