Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-most yards in the NFL (131 per game) against the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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