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Tyjae Spears
NFL · Player Props
Tyjae Spears
RB · Tennessee Titans
Receptions
Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:51 AM UTC
NFL Props Tyjae Spears Receptions

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Favors Over
  • The model projects Tyjae Spears to accrue 4.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears slots into the 96th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 22.1 figure this year.
  • With a terrific 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the NFL.
  • This year, the weak Texans pass defense has given up a massive 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-highest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Houston's collection of safeties has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Titans to call the 10th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
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