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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to skew 1.9% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Tyjae Spears to garner 4.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With an elite 13.9% Target% (95th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.

Tyjae Spears ranks as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 2.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are expected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Titans grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

With a weak 75.8% Adjusted Catch% (24th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears has been as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

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