My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.4 per game) this year.

In this week's game, Tyjae Spears is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 95th percentile among running backs with 4.8 targets.

The model projects Tyjae Spears to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack in this week's contest (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.4% in games he has played).

Tyjae Spears profiles as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an impressive 19.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.93 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

As it relates to air yards, Tyjae Spears ranks in the lowly 13th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Tyjae Spears Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™