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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Tyjae Spears's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 79.3% to 94.5%.

The Commanders pass defense has struggled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.85 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

In regards to air yards, Tyjae Spears ranks in the measly 14th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

Tyjae Spears's 14.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 22.1.

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