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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyjae Spears to notch 3.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • Tyjae Spears has accumulated a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Tyjae Spears's 20.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 95th percentile for running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
  • With a feeble 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (24th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.
  • Tyjae Spears profiles as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football among RBs, averaging a mere 4.23 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.
  • With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears ranks among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league in the open field.

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