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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Titans to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 47.4% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

The predictive model expects Tyjae Spears to notch 19.7 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

While Tyjae Spears has received 23.3% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Tennessee's ground game in this game at 63.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tennessee Titans may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The Tennessee Titans offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.93 seconds per play.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Jacksonville's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL.

More Tyjae Spears Player Props

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