Tyjae Spears Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is indicated by the Titans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Titans as the most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Carolina's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Titans feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The fewest plays in football have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (a mere 52.7 per game on average).

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