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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Ty Johnson to be a more important option in his offense's run game in this week's game (32.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

Ty Johnson's rushing effectiveness (4.89 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (86th percentile among RBs).

The New York Jets defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.

With a lousy tally of 12.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (23rd percentile) this year, Ty Johnson has been among the worst RBs in the NFL at the position.

This year, the daunting Jets run defense has given up a mere 103.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 7th-fewest in football.

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