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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • Ty Johnson's ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 5.48 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.58 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.
  • Ty Johnson's 31.0% snap rate this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his offensive workload over last year's 15.9% rate.
  • This year, the feeble Chiefs run defense has been torched for a massive 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 21st-highest rate in football.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's safety corps has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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