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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 48.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Ty Johnson's 5.7 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a material improvement in his rushing ability over last season's 4.6 mark.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's DE corps has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Ty Johnson's 29.6% snap rate this season shows a remarkable progression in his offensive usage over last season's 15.7% mark.

The Jets defense boasts the 10th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.45 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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