Ty Johnson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ty Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Ty Johnson

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Ty Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
With a stellar tally of 3.84 yards after contact (97th percentile), Ty Johnson places among the best running backs in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 33.0% run rate.
When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's DE corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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