My Account Log Out
 
 
Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Ty Johnson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.
  • While Ty Johnson has been responsible for 5.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Buffalo's passing attack in this game at 10.5%.
  • Ty Johnson has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (12.0 per game) than he did last season (-1.0 per game).
  • Ty Johnson has put up quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).
  • Ty Johnson is positioned as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league among RBs, averaging a fantastic 13.67 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 99th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Ty Johnson has been one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, completing a measly 73.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™