My Account Log Out

reorder

Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

The projections expect Ty Johnson to notch 1.7 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Ty Johnson has accumulated far more air yards this season (12.0 per game) than he did last season (0.0 per game).

Ty Johnson's 11.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 4.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

This year, the fierce Chiefs defense has surrendered a measly 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 2nd-fewest in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.4%) vs. running backs this year (76.4%).

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Ty Johnson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™