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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • After accruing 0.0 air yards per game last year, Ty Johnson has posted big gains this year, now sitting at 13.0 per game.
  • Ty Johnson's 11.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.2.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • Ty Johnson's 17.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 11.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a puny 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
  • The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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