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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.

Ty Johnson has totaled far more air yards this year (12.0 per game) than he did last year (0.0 per game).

Ty Johnson's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 4.2.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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