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Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Ty Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Ty Johnson to be a more important option in his offense's run game in this week's game (32.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

The New York Jets defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.

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