T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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T.Y. Hilton

NFL · Player Props

T.Y. Hilton

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+107/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
T.Y. Hilton's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 57.6% to 70.5%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
T.Y. Hilton has run fewer routes this year (28.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (69.4%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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