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T.Y. Hilton

T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys

T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

T.Y. Hilton's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 57.6% to 70.5%.

T.Y. Hilton's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, averaging 10.16 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.56 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

T.Y. Hilton has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (28.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (69.4%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) to WRs this year (63.4%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 7.40 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.

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