Ty Chandler Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ty Chandler

NFL · Player Props

Ty Chandler

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Ty Chandler Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
The model projects Ty Chandler to earn 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
While Ty Chandler has earned 4.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Minnesota's offense in this contest at 10.5%.

Favors Under

When talking about air yards, Ty Chandler grades out in just the 11th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.
Ty Chandler profiles as one of the worst running backs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
This year, the imposing Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a feeble 5.2 yards.
The Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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