Ty Chandler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Ty Chandler

NFL · Player Props

Ty Chandler

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Ty Chandler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
Ty Chandler has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this season (19.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (8.6%).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Chicago's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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