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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Tutu Atwell's 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a meaningful boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 57.9% figure.
  • This year, the anemic Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.
  • Tutu Atwell's 43.2% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a material decrease in his passing attack workload over last year's 66.3% mark.
  • The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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