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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • Tutu Atwell's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 57.9% to 68.2%.
  • This year, the shaky Bills pass defense has conceded a monstrous 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tutu Atwell has gone out for fewer passes this season (42.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (66.3%).
  • In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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