Tutu Atwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.4 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Tutu Atwell's 4.7 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a a noteable progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 1.5 figure.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Rams to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
While Tutu Atwell has garnered 20.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Los Angeles's offense in this week's contest at 13.8%.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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