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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • Tutu Atwell's 69.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a substantial improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 57.9% mark.
  • Tutu Atwell's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, notching 9.47 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.04 rate last year.
  • As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, New York's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Tutu Atwell has been used less as a potential target this season (43.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (66.3%).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Tutu Atwell has been one of the bottom WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
  • The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) vs. WRs this year (62.6%).

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