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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Tutu Atwell's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 57.9% to 70.0%.
  • Tutu Atwell's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, notching 9.73 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.04 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
  • Tutu Atwell has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (43.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (66.3%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • The 49ers defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) to wide receivers this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, surrendering 7.50 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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