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Tutu Atwell

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.

Tutu Atwell has notched many more air yards this year (63.0 per game) than he did last year (50.0 per game).

Tutu Atwell's 49.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a meaningful boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 33.0 mark.

Tutu Atwell's 63.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a noteable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 57.9% figure.

Tutu Atwell's receiving efficiency has improved this year, accumulating 9.03 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 7.04 figure last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

The model projects Tutu Atwell to be much less involved in his team's pass attack this week (5.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.4% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) to wide receivers this year.

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