Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Tutu Atwell has put up significantly more air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).
Tutu Atwell's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys an impressive improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 21.0 figure.
Tutu Atwell's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 51.1% to 58.5%.
This year, the feeble Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered a massive 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
While Tutu Atwell has been responsible for 18.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's pass game in this game at 12.8%.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
With a weak 6.8 adjusted yards per target (18th percentile) this year, Tutu Atwell rates as one of the worst wide receivers in the game in football.