Tutu Atwell Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+387/-806).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +427 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +387.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tutu Atwell to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (15.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.5% in games he has played).
Tutu Atwell's 26.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 0.0.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) versus wideouts this year (70.9%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Tutu Atwell has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, completing just 50.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs

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