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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

Tucker Kraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-121/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.0% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

Tucker Kraft has been less involved as a potential target this year (77.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.0%).

In this week's game, Tucker Kraft is projected by the model to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Tucker Kraft's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 80.6% to 75.2%.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has surrendered a meager 54.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the lowest rate in football.

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