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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Tucker Kraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-182/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -177 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Tucker Kraft has been less involved as a potential target this season (84.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.0%).

Our trusted projections expect Tucker Kraft to accrue 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 49.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Green Bay Packers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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