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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Tucker Kraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Tucker Kraft has gone out for fewer passes this year (83.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.0%).

The leading projections forecast Tucker Kraft to accumulate 5.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.4%) to TEs this year (72.4%).

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