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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Tucker Kraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Packers being a huge -8.5-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Packers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The projections expect Tucker Kraft to total 5.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

While Tucker Kraft has received 1.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Green Bay's offense this week at 14.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.9%) vs. TEs this year (69.9%).

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