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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.6 per game) this year.
  • Tucker Kraft has run fewer routes this season (80.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.0%).
  • Our trusted projections expect Tucker Kraft to total 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 33.0) versus TEs this year.
  • The Lions pass defense has shown good efficiency versus tight ends this year, surrendering 5.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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