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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Tucker Kraft has gone out for fewer passes this year (83.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.0%).

The leading projections forecast Tucker Kraft to accumulate 5.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

With an impressive 10.1 adjusted yards per target (86th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.4%) to TEs this year (72.4%).

This year, the stout Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

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