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Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tucker Kraft has gone out for fewer passes this year (83.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.0%).
  • The leading projections forecast Tucker Kraft to accumulate 5.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
  • The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • With an impressive 10.1 adjusted yards per target (86th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.4%) to TEs this year (72.4%).
  • This year, the stout Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

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