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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.5% red zone pass rate.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The model projects Tua Tagovailoa to throw 37.9 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL vs. the Houston Texans defense this year (62.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Houston cornerbacks project as the 8th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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