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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.

Tua Tagovailoa's 70.0% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive gain in his throwing precision over last season's 64.0% figure.

Tua Tagovailoa has been among the top TD throwers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 2.00 per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

The Commanders defense has been gouged for the most touchdowns through the air in football: 2.33 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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