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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-244/+172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -214 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -244.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.0% to 70.1%.

With a fantastic rate of 2.11 per game (97th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands among the best TD passers in football this year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Raiders defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

The Raiders safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

The Raiders defense has conceded the 8th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.10 per game this year.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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