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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Tua Tagovailoa's 4.69 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a significant growth in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.35 rate.

The 49ers safeties profile as the 24th-worst group of safeties in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 4th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

This week, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the projection model to total the fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 1.7.

Comprising a lowly 4.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (19th percentile among quarterbacks), Tua Tagovailoa's lack of speed makes him no threat with his legs.

Tua Tagovailoa has grinded out just 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in football among quarterbacks (13th percentile).

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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