Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs run defense has yielded a paltry 4.46 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 23rd-best rate in football.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 36.3% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
The projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to accrue 2.9 carries in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.
Tua Tagovailoa has generated a mere 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among QBs (11th percentile).

More Tua Tagovailoa Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow