Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The model projects Tua Tagovailoa to accumulate 2.8 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Tua Tagovailoa has grinded out just 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (14th percentile).

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