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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 44.2% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • When talking about blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.
  • This year, the daunting Carolina Panthers run defense has allowed a feeble 5.90 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 31st-lowest rate in football.
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.
  • With a dreadful record of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (20th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa places as one of the bottom running quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.00 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.92 figure last year.

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