Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Buffalo's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.5 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to total 2.1 carries in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest of all quarterbacks.

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