Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Denver Broncos safeties rank as the 28th-worst unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to earn 2.7 carries this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
Tua Tagovailoa has averaged a mere 6.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (24th percentile).

More Tua Tagovailoa Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow