Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 35.8% run rate.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to total 2.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Tua Tagovailoa has averaged a mere 6.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (22nd percentile).

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